Betting on the NBA is a great way to invest yourself into the
action, literally. Around 35% of the way through the 2021-22 NBA
regular season, I thought it would be an interesting time during
the holidays to check in on how teams are faring against the
spread.
For those wondering, what exactly is a spread? Well, it’s how
much sportsbooks predict a team to win in that game. For example,
the Utah Jazz were favored to defeat the Minnesota Timberwolves by
at least 11 points on Thursday night with the spread at -10.5.
(Since the Jazz won that game by 12, they covered.)
Here on BasketballNews.com, yours truly runs a daily NBA betting podcast called
“Nothing But Bets.” If you haven’t already, make sure you check it
out as I provide you the betting edge before tip-off with picks
against the spread, plus over/under player props via
PrizePicks.
When putting the whole league under a betting-related
microscope, there are a few eye-opening takeaways. Here are teams'
records against the spread as of Dec. 24, 2021:
Cleveland Cavaliers: 24-8
Oklahoma City Thunder: 20-11
Golden State Warriors: 20-11-1
Charlotte Hornets: 20-13-1
Chicago Bulls: 19-11
Miami Heat: 19-14
Memphis Grizzlies: 19-15
Sna Antonio Spurs: 18-13
Boston Celtics: 18-14
Phoenix Suns: 17-14
Utah Jazz: 16-15
Indiana Pacers: 16-16-1
Minnesota Timberwolves: 16-16
Houston Rockets: 16-16-1
Detroit Pistons: 15-16
Dallas Mavericks: 15-17
New Orleans Pelicans: 15-18
Milwaukee Bucks: 15-20
Toronto Raptors: 14-15
Washington Wizards: 14-17-1
Philadelphia 76ers: 14-18
Los Angeles Clippers: 14-18
Orlando Magic: 14-19
Sacramento Kings: 14-19
Brooklyn Nets: 13-17
Atlanta Hawks: 13-18
Denver Nuggets: 13-18
New York Knicks: 13-19
Portland Trail Blazers: 12-20
Los Angeles Lakers: 11-21-1
First off, hello Cleveland. The Cavaliers are well ahead of the
pack as it relates to their record against the spread at a dominant
24-8 mark. They have a full four-game lead on second place, which
says a lot not only about Cleveland’s eye-opening improvements this
season, but also how often betting prognosticators continue to
doubt the team's legitimacy.
Incredibly enough, the Oklahoma City Thunder are right behind
Cleveland at No. 2 in the ATS standings. Before losing in Phoenix
last night, OKC was 6-point underdogs at home against Nikola Jokic
and the Denver Nuggets on Wednesday evening. The Thunder not only
covered the spread, but won outright in blowout fashion. This says
a lot about the progress they’re making in their rebuild attempt.
Somehow, someway, the Thunder are 27-36 overall when Shai
Gilgeous-Alexander has started for them over the last two
seasons.
On the other hand, at the bottom of the list, it's no surprise
who ranks last. There were NBA Finals hopes for the Los Angeles
Lakers this season, but they continue to get in their own way
constantly. What were high hopes in terms of adding Russell
Westbrook and ample floor-spacing alongside LeBron James and
Anthony Davis have now turned disastrous. Not only has the
Westbrook fit been clunky at best — which was a worry once the
blockbuster trade happened during the 2021 NBA Draft — but the lack
of depth is also startling compared to actual contenders within the
league. Checking in with a 11-21-1 record against the spread, Los
Angeles continues to lose cash for those who bet on the
purple-and-gold at a rapid rate.
A good indicator of this list, as hinted at above, is how these
teams rank in record are really based off preseason expectations.
Alongside the Lakers at the bottom are the Trail Blazers, Knicks,
Hawks and Nuggets, four teams who also got off to very slow starts.
Atlanta and Denver are finally climbing out of their ruts, but
Portland’s lack of aggressiveness to make a true contender around
Damian Lillard continues to be a major problem. Meanwhile, New
York’s magic from last season is wearing off, as Tom Thibodeau's
crew seems stuck in the lower portion of the reloaded Eastern
Conference.
At the top, Cleveland is going to stay at No. 1 for awhile
unless it completely nosedives before the All-Star break. Next to
the Cavs are the aforementioned Thunder, Warriors, Hornets and
Bulls. Chicago and Golden State were expected to improve during the
2021-22 campaign, but not many thought they would reach these
levels already; both teams seem settled into the top tiers of their
respective conferences. I was high on the Hornets’ potential
entering this season thanks to LaMelo Ball’s expected sophomore
leap, but the defense has collapsed to the
point where it’s hard to even trust them to stop opposing teams
from scoring 125 points on a nightly basis. (Last night's 115-107
win in Denver was a step in the right direction at least.)
The rest of the standings within the middle are jumbled up
together, which should come as no surprise with the
unpredictability of the NBA from a betting perspective. However,
that’s what makes it so fun. Current betting trends like this not
only showcase the winners and losers to stake wagers on, but
also paint a clearer picture of how teams are valued in a
different manner.
Stay tuned for more NBA betting content on BasketballNews.com
throughout the season, and make sure to subscribe to “Nothing But
Bets” on our own podcast network featuring 12 excellent shows.