As the NBA offseason marketplace has come to a halt due to the
ongoing Kevin Durant saga (which directly ties into the Phoenix
Suns), Deandre Ayton’s status is finally beginning to clear up.
According to ESPN’s Brian Windhorst, there is mutual interest
between Ayton and the Indiana Pacers. Windhorst also relayed on
Monday that Indiana has met with Ayton as talks progress towards
either an outright offer sheet or a sign-and-trade scenario
involving Phoenix. Regarding the sign-and-trade route, Myles Turner
would presumably head back to the Suns, potentially with a draft
pick attached as well.
Some may wonder why exactly the rebuilding Pacers and Ayton
would seek each other out through this muddied restricted free
agent process. However, the more you dive into the potential fit
for both Ayton and Indiana, it feels like the perfect opportunity
to strike on a rare opportunity for the organization.
The Pacers have never had a No. 1 overall pick play for them
before, and Ayton would instantly become arguably their biggest
offseason transaction ever. Ayton wants to be a primary option and
showcase more of his skill set away from Phoenix. In Indiana, Ayton
would have an amble runway to be a primary focal point while also
fitting snugly into the team's long-term picture alongside Tyrese
Haliburton, Bennedict Mathurin, Chris Duarte, Jalen Smith, Isaiah
Jackson and Oshae Brissett. These players all fit within the same
age timeline, almost identical to what Ayton first experienced in
Phoenix before Chris Paul’s arrival.
Also, leaving an elite point guard like Paul means trying to
find a similar situation. Although he’s still somewhat flying under
the radar nationally, Haliburton is one of the best pure passers in
the league with strong pick-and-roll play, and Haliburton/Ayton
pick-and-roll duo in Indianapolis could make for a lot of fun on a
nightly basis.
Diving deeper into this potential pairing shows that the Pacers
are comfortable handing the keys over to Haliburton as the face of
their offense moving forward, which could now include Ayton as the
cherry on top.
Giving Haliburton a proverbial cheat code in Ayton, when Indiana
already ran such high amounts of pick-and-roll, would show immense
belief in the third-year point guard to potentially make an
All-Star jump as soon as next season. Indiana banking on an
entrenched trio of Haliburton, Ayton and Mathurin to grow together
could be the smart risk for an organization like Indiana to make,
because these opportunities rarely ever arrive on the
organization's doorstep.
Ayton has real inconsistencies that must be ironed out, such as
his motor throughout an 82-game season, but it’s hard to envision
this gamble not paying off in spades with the Pacers' flexibility
still wide open for years to come. If they were to eventually shed
the contracts of Buddy Hield and TJ McConnell, the team would
easily clear more than $30 million in cap space for next summer
when Haliburton becomes extension-eligible for a rookie-scale max
contract.
In the Pacers' first rebuild attempt in over 30 years, it
appears as if Ayton has been a potential target for a while. It’s
been well reported that the Pacers and Suns had an open dialogue
back at February’s trade deadline centered around Ayton for
Domantas Sabonis, who ironically enough was shipped off to the
Sacramento Kings in exchange for Haliburton.
Indiana’s flirtation with Ayton has now reached levels of mutual
interest, and the smoke seems to be picking up enough where there's
momentum for him to eventually join the Pacers. With how the roster
is being constructed — more perimeter-focused around Haliburton —
Ayton’s inclusion would actually mesh well compared to the
pick-and-pop elements Turner provided. Thanks to his gravity impact
in rolling situations, Ayton could make life easier for shooters
like Mathurin and Duarte; pick-and-rolls for the Pacers involving
this quartet could grow into pick your poison possessions for
opposing defenses in due time. Also, Ayton would likely be able to
feast inside when surrounded by four above-average three-point
shooters, and the difference this time around would be a noticeable
usage bump.
Ayton receiving passes from Haliburton and being surrounded by
shooters could produce top results immediately, and it wouldn’t
stun me to see the Bahamian big man develop into a consistent
20-and-10 player within this environment. In Indiana, Ayton would
become a primary pillar and focal point to its system on both ends
of the court.
Who are the biggest free-agent signings or sign-and-trade
acquisitions in franchise history for Indiana? The list is rather
short, headlined by David West, Malcolm Brogdon and Bojan
Bogdanovic. Though Indiana’s community is built around basketball,
it’s not a destination players actively seek out. So when a former
No. 1 pick is available and fits in with how the team's image is
being remade, the Pacers have to pounce on said chance.
Going from a core of Sabonis, Brogdon and Turner to Haliburton,
Ayton and Mathurin would simply be unbelievable work from the
Pacers’ front office of Kevin Pritchard and Chad Buchanan. What’d
be even more impressive is that they've executed this plan from
only February and on. An instant roster reshaping could soon
culminate with Ayton as the emphatic exclamation point.
Heading into next season, if the Pacers do indeed secure Ayton’s
services one way or another, this could be their projected
rotation:
Second Unit = TJ McConnell, Chris Duarte, Aaron
Nesmith, Oshae Brissett, Isaiah Jackson
(Obviously, if there is a sign-and-trade completed with the
Suns, there will be names on this list on the outs.)
Honestly, that group of 10 could be feisty enough to take a real
step forward if the Haliburton/Ayton duo could hit the ground
running.
The overall value of Ayton and the center position will be
debated over and over again. But, based on the on-court fit alone,
it’s hard to find a better overall fit for what the Suns’ center
desires than Indiana. Not only would he land in an ideal
developmental environment, but the presence of Haliburton and a fun
young core around him would present a new, rebuilt Pacers
roster.
Pacers head coach Rick Carlisle has echoed all offseason long
how multiple moves have been made based off Haliburton. Going
all-in for Ayton to give Haliburton a pick-and-roll monster partner
would further solidify the new direction for an organization truly
venturing into uncharted waters.