The Los Angeles Clippers face the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight
to determine which team will take the seventh seed in the Western
Conference playoffs and which team will need to face either the New
Orleans Pelicans or San Antonio Spurs for the eighth seed. While
the Clippers may ultimately fail to quality for the postseason,
they have battled through injuries all season and are now primed to
be a dangerous dark horse in the West with the recent return of
Paul George and Norman Powell (and the possible return of Kawhi
Leonard down the road).
The Clippers will have their hands full against the
Timberwolves, who have a strong core of young talent that has taken
on the gritty personality of former Clippers point guard Patrick
Beverley. But Los Angeles has developed a stingy personality
throughout the season, putting together several big comeback wins.
And now, with George and Powell healthy, they add some much-needed
firepower.
George, in particular, will be instrumental for the Clippers. He
received ridicule for his lackluster performance in the Bubble, but
George has looked spry since his return from a torn UCL in his
shooting elbow and could carry this team like he did last year in
the postseason. In his first game back, George posted 34 points, 6
assists, 4 steals, 2 assists and 1 block on 50% shooting from the
field and 66.7% from beyond the arc. His ability to run the offense
as a primary playmaker and scoring threat addresses one of the
biggest issues the Clippers struggled with all season. Reggie
Jackson has been the team’s primary scorer and playmaker throughout
most of the season, but it left the offense sputtering at times,
with the team often surrendering leads or creating huge
deficits.
The Clippers made a habit of starting off slowly or going
through long scoring droughts. With George and Powell bolstering
the lineup, the Clippers now have more options to run their offense
through. While the team has several talented offensive players, no
one could replicate the offensive abilities of George so, anytime
Jackson struggled, the Clippers’ offense staggered.
George and Powell have also bolstered the team’s defense, adding
more length and physicality on the wing. George has been generating
several deflections per game, jumping passing lanes and turning
defense into easy offense in transition. Powell doesn’t have
George’s length, but he is a gritty defender and has meshed quickly
within the Clippers’ defense.
The sample size is small, but the early numbers for the Clippers
since George came back are impressive. In seven games since George
returned to action, the Clippers are first in offensive rating,
sixth in defensive rating and first overall in net rating. These
numbers cannot be relied on to make any definitive predictions
about the Clippers’ matchup with Minnesota or their prospects in
the postseason given the small sample size (and considering several
teams played limited lineups), but the stats are encouraging. This
is especially true when you consider that the Clippers were 22nd in
net rating from the time George suffered his elbow injury until his
return.
The Clippers’ shooting has been especially impressive recently.
Since George’s return, the Clippers are second in True Shooting
percentage (64.7%), first in three-pointers made per game (18) and
first in three-point percentage (46.5%). Luke Kennard led the
league in three-point shooting this season but is now sidelined
with a hamstring injury. His loss could be an issue for the
Clippers, but the person most likely to absorb his minutes is Amir
Coffey, who has been on a tear in his most recent outings. In the
Clippers’ season finale, Coffey posted 35 points, 13 rebounds, 7
threes (on 10 attempts), 5 assists and a block. This is another
reason why the Clippers are such a wildcard in the West. Should the
Clippers advance to the first round, Kennard would likely be back
in the lineup and Coffey would probably only play a few
minutes.
The roster is deep, featuring more than 10 veteran contributors
who produce at a high level and have played effectively within
their respective roles. With George back as the team’s number-one
option and Powell playing exceedingly well in his limited action as
a Clipper, there is reason to believe this team is peaking at the
exact right time.
Then, there is the Kawhi factor.
Clippers head coach Ty Lue recently said that Kawhi has not
advanced beyond individual workouts. However, Bill Simmons of The
Ringer recently stated that he has heard that Leonard is now
doing three-on-three workouts, which could indicate he is ramping
up his rehab and moving closer to game action. Also, ESPN's Ohm
Youngmisuk recently reported that Leonard may be
able to return if the Clippers make it out of the Play-In
Tournament.
If the Clippers advance to the first round and Leonard is able
to return at some point, this team conceivably could matchup
favorably against any opponent. It’s still not clear whether
Leonard will return and what sort of condition he will be in, but
the possibility of Leonard returning has to be scary for the
Western Conference contenders.
With George playing at a high level, the Clippers have a
puncher’s chance of beating anyone on any given night. With a
healthy Leonard, they become a huge threat that’s much better than
their 42-40 record indicates.
The Clippers have been hit harder by injuries this season than
arguably any other team. As of April 8, the Clippers' players
combined to miss 383 games this season, which is the third-most in the NBA (trailing
only the Orlando Magic and Indiana Pacers). And when you factor in
that their stars were often the ones who were sidelined, it's no
surprise that the Clippers led the league in lost VORP
(Value Over Replacement Player) this season.
Now, they are getting healthy at the right time and have a shot
to make an improbably deep playoff run. A lot of things need to
turn in their favor, but with a little luck, Paul George and the
Clippers could make this one of the more interesting playoff races
in recent memory.